Spotty Showers Today, Then Big Time Warming. Other Shoe Drops?

I'm really enjoying this stretch of Fall weather we've been having. Yesterday in Chattanooga the high was 72 which I think is the ideal temperature. Most of the Channel 3 Storm Alert Skywatchers were in the upper 60s to low 70s. We wrapped up October on a warm and dry note, which summarizes the month as a whole. October 2005 in Chattanooga averaged out over 2 degrees above normal. Rainfall ended up 2.5" below average.
As we turn the page on the calendar, November average temps slowly fall from 66/43 on the 1st, to 56/36 on the 30th. November extremes are 84 degrees recorded Nov. 2nd, 1961 to 4 degrees above zero on Nov. 25th, 1950.
Here's where things get interesting.
Late this week as southwest winds pick up our highs will be boosted into the upper 70s. Below are the record highs for this week into the weekend.

• Today Nov. 1st - 83 in 1950
• Wednesday Nov. 2nd - 84 in 1961
• Thursday Nov. 3rd - 82 in 1974
• Friday Nov. 4th - 81 in 1909
• Saturday Nov. 5th - 80 in 1948
• Sunday Nov. 6th - 78 in 2003

So I doubt the records are in jeopardy through Friday, but we could be close on Saturday and Sunday. Right now it appears a front may get closer Saturday night or Sunday bringing us another chance for rain and maybe storms. But if that occurs slower, Sunday's record could fall. So we'll see.

The Climate Prediction Center still says expect above normal temps with average to below average rainfall through mid-November.

This time of year I always look for the other shoe to drop. And in geek-speak, the European model has a BIGGGGG Plunge in temps headed our way Monday. IF this model is correct, we would probably see some strong to severe storms breaking out late in the weekend with temps diving into the upper 20s to lower 30s by Tuesday morning.

So enjoy the weather now, and strap in this weekend for what may be a wild weather ride.